Auto Edge Research · Issue #003
CCPI
Commercial COE Predictive Index · Singapore Category C
Market View
SLIGHTLY BEARISH
CCPI Point Estimate
S$91,800
Primary Range
S$89,800 – S$93,500
Scenario Analysis
CCPI #003 Distribution — 17 Aug 2026
Bearish · < S$90,500
Lower bid intensity; greater deferral; easing fuel pressure
Base · S$90,500–S$93,500
Healthy demand but continued price sensitivity
Bullish · > S$93,500
Fuel/geopolitical shock; rush before longer interval
Recent Settlement + Forecast
Category C COE Price Trend
Methodology
Four-Engine CCPI Framework
Engine 1
Price & Momentum
BearishRecent trend, mean reversion, volatility
Engine 2
Supply & Demand
BearishQuota, bids, bid-to-quota, absorption
Engine 3
Economic & Fundamental
Neutral / BullishGDP, diesel, oil, EV economics, geopolitics
Engine 4
Buyer Timing & Sentiment
BearishUrgency, deferral, willingness-to-wait
Strategic Outlook
Central Tendency — Planning Ranges
Not precise forecasts · Subject to quota, energy, macro, and policy changes
Next exercise (17 Aug)
S$91,800
September 2026
~S$91,000 ±wide
Q4 2026
S$90,000–S$91,000
6-month horizon
S$89,000–S$90,000
Frequently Asked
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CCPI is an independent market intelligence publication by Auto Edge Research for informational and educational purposes only. Forecasts are model-implied and not guarantees. This does not constitute financial, investment, legal, tax or vehicle-purchasing advice. Actual COE outcomes may differ materially. Issue #003 · 14 August 2026.